Analysis of technical forecasts Archives - B_Sai https://bsai.io/category/analysis-of-technical-forecasts/ Predictions for the future of cryptocurrencies and their potential impact on the financial system Mon, 26 Jun 2023 11:43:40 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.1.1 https://bsai.io/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/cropped-B_Sai-32x32.jpg Analysis of technical forecasts Archives - B_Sai https://bsai.io/category/analysis-of-technical-forecasts/ 32 32 Best Cryptocurrency Terminals in 2023: A Deep Dive into Seamless Trading https://bsai.io/best-cryptocurrency-terminals-in-2023-a-deep-dive-into-seamless-trading/ Mon, 26 Jun 2023 11:43:38 +0000 https://bsai.io/?p=166 Cryptocurrency trading has become more sophisticated than ever. As the market matures, the demand for advanced trading platforms follows suit. In this article, we will […]

The post Best Cryptocurrency Terminals in 2023: A Deep Dive into Seamless Trading appeared first on B_Sai.

]]>
Cryptocurrency trading has become more sophisticated than ever. As the market matures, the demand for advanced trading platforms follows suit. In this article, we will explore the best cryptocurrency terminal in 2023 that are making waves due to their features, ease of use, and seamless trading experiences.

Unraveling Cryptocurrency Terminals: What Are They?

Cryptocurrency terminals are specialized platforms that enable traders to access multiple cryptocurrency exchanges and tools through a single interface. These terminals provide an array of features, such as market analytics, portfolio management, trade execution, and automation tools. These terminals are invaluable for active traders as they consolidate all the necessary tools and information in one place, optimizing the trading process.

The Contenders: Top Cryptocurrency Terminals of 2023

Let’s cut to the chase and look at the top cryptocurrency terminals that are earning accolades in 2023:

  1. Dexilon

Dexilon is a blockchain-based cybersecurity token designed to protect users from malicious actors in the digital economy. The platform uses a multi-layer security architecture, a verification system, and a distributed ledger to help users and organizations protect and secure their digital assets. The Dexilon ecosystem is powered by its token, allowing users to access the platform’s security services and reward proactive participation with its rewards system. To ensure data security, the platform also integrates cybersecurity solutions, such as web security, identity and access control systems, malware protection, and cloud storage management.

  1. HollaEx

HollaEx crypto is a cryptocurrency exchange platform that makes it easy for users to buy, sell, and trade popular cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin. HollaEx is designed to make trading cryptocurrency simple and secure, with features like the HollaEx Wallet, 24/7 customer support, and secure storage. HollaEx also provides an API that enables users to build advanced financial apps and cryptocurrency trading tools.

  1. 3Commas

3Commas is an automated trading platform that allows users to trade cryptocurrency assets on major exchanges. 3Commas provides an intuitive interface with unique functions such as portfolio and bot management. The platform will enable users to copy experienced traders’ strategies and customize them to their preferences. 3Commas also provides trading signals that alert users to buy and sell opportunities.

  1. Binance

Binance is a digital asset and cryptocurrency exchange platform. It offers a repeatable and minimal fee structure for trading a wide variety of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin. Binance is widely popular for its attractive fee structure and leading positions in daily trading volume. It is also considered one of the safest cryptocurrency exchanges.

  1. Coinigy

Coinigy is a platform for professional cryptocurrency traders to manage their portfolios across multiple cryptocurrency exchanges. It is a comprehensive and centralized trading platform, allowing users to access their accounts, place orders, and track their portfolio performance in one place. The Coinigy platform also offers access to shared trading insights, charts, tools, advanced order types, and trading strategies.

  1. Altrady

Altrady is a digital asset trading platform designed for ultimate convenience and speed. It supports multiple trading strategies and provides users with a wide variety of tools for an optimized trading experience. It makes trading on exchanges easy and seamless and allows users to access Blockchain-protected assets on one dashboard. It also includes customized charting, real-time portfolio tracking, portfolio analysis features, bulk order processing, fast trading execution, and more. With all these features, Altrady provides users with a convenient and quick way to access the cryptocurrency markets.

  1. HyperTrader

HyperTrader is a web-based platform for trading cryptocurrencies. It is designed to provide users with a comprehensive and safe way to navigate the cryptocurrency markets. The platform offers many tools for traders of different experience levels. While novice traders can make the most of the simple and intuitive interface, more experienced users can develop strategies with comprehensive order types and powerful charting tools. Additionally, the platform offers a unique suite of portfolio management tools to track performance across an entire cryptocurrency portfolio.

Making a Choice: Factors to Consider

With so many options available, making the right choice can take time and effort. Here are some factors you should consider:

  • Exchange Integration: Ensure the terminal supports integration with the exchanges you use. More exchange integrations provide greater flexibility.
  • Security: Use robust security features such as encryption and two-factor authentication to keep your investments safe.
  • Customization and Tools: The ability to customize the terminal according to your preferences and having access to essential tools is vital.
  • Support and Community: A strong support team and an active community can be invaluable resources for troubleshooting and learning.
  • Pricing: Compare pricing and make sure it aligns with the features offered.

Beyond 2023: The Future of Cryptocurrency Terminals

As technology advances, so will the features of cryptocurrency terminals. Keep an eye out for emerging trends such as artificial intelligence (AI) integration for smarter analytics, decentralized trading terminals for heightened security, and mobile advancements for trading on the go. Staying ahead of these trends can give you an edge in the market.

In conclusion, choosing the right cryptocurrency terminal is instrumental in crafting a successful trading strategy. By evaluating the offerings and aligning them with your trading needs, you can create an environment that streamlines your trading process and enables informed decision-making. As the market evolves, be adaptable and open to incorporating new features and technologies into your trading toolkit.

The post Best Cryptocurrency Terminals in 2023: A Deep Dive into Seamless Trading appeared first on B_Sai.

]]>
Risks and Benefits of Investing in Cryptocurrency https://bsai.io/risks-and-benefits-of-investing-in-cryptocurrency/ Fri, 03 Feb 2023 02:37:00 +0000 https://bsai.io/?p=110 Cryptocurrency is a risky and relatively new instrument that traditional investors avoid. High volatility, negative news, and difficulty in understanding how the system works create […]

The post Risks and Benefits of Investing in Cryptocurrency appeared first on B_Sai.

]]>
Cryptocurrency is a risky and relatively new instrument that traditional investors avoid. High volatility, negative news, and difficulty in understanding how the system works create an aura of mystery and inaccessibility around cryptocurrencies.

This article will try to change the situation and convince the reader that cryptocurrencies can be one of the elements of a reasonable investor’s portfolio. Let’s walk through the following plan:

  • Types of cryptocurrencies.
  • Traditional cryptocurrencies as replacements for fiat.
  • Advantages of ecosystems and DeFi projects.
  • Memes, pyramid schemes and fraudulent projects.
  • Peculiarities of investing in stabelcoins.

Types of cryptocurrencies

Cryptocurrency is the collective name for digital assets that work with blockchain technology. At the time of writing, there are more than 17 thousand different cryptocurrencies, which differ in purpose, encryption features, transaction speed, degree of anonymity of users, methods of passive income, type of issue, the maximum supply of currency, the presence of inflation mechanism, etc.

The main and common feature of cryptocurrencies is decentralization through blockchain technology. Blockchain is a database contained on the devices of the network participants, blocks of transaction data in this network are linked cryptographically, so it is almost impossible to fake information, for this you need to have control over most of the network devices. No one (not even the creator of the network) can tamper with the information himself. The system is quite cumbersome, so the transaction speed of the first cryptocurrencies (classic Bitcoin, for example) is quite low, but this problem is solved by modern projects (such as Solana).

Cryptocurrency projects are very different from each other, so for the most correct determination of the risks and benefits of investing, it is necessary to divide the cryptocurrency into conditional groups. Within this article we will distinguish:

  • Traditional cryptocurrencies.
  • Ecosystem cryptocurrencies.
  • Stablecoins.
  • Memes, shieldcoins and other fraudulent projects.

Traditional cryptocurrencies as replacements for fiat

Bitcoin’s creator, Satoshi Nakamoto (pseudonym) conceived to use blockchain technology to create a digital analog currency, the feature of which is its independence from traditional financial systems. Conventional currency is controlled by banks and the government, they control issuance and mediate economic relations between entities. Blockchain allows you to create a decentralized system, the information is not stored on one server (as in banks), it is simultaneously on the devices of users around the world, there is no single control center. Thus, the problem of sole control over the mass of money is solved.

Cryptocurrency has the property of “antifragility,” it is a dynamic system, in the future, independent of the economy of a particular state or interstate formation. On this basis, it has the following advantages over fiat:

  • Decentralization. There is no way to fake transactions, you can not control them, the updating and operation of the network (in most projects) is made by a group of enthusiasts, who are rewarded for this in cryptocurrency.
  • Relative cheapness and high speed of transfers around the world, with no restrictions.
  • Deflationary nature of projects with limited maximum supply (Bitcoin, Zcash, Litecoin).
  • Ease of use, no need to enter personal information to register a wallet.
  • Security of transfers and the user’s identity. Most cryptocurrencies are extremely sensitive about the privacy of transactions. The identity of a cryptocurrency holder can be found out only if he or she has somehow provided his or her personal information in conjunction with the wallet address.

However, traditional cryptocurrencies are not without disadvantages, among them:

  • High volatility, the price of cryptocurrency in a short period of time can change in any direction – to fall in 2 times, to rise in price by 3 times, etc. The upside stage is called “cryptolet”, the crisis stage is called “cryptozyma”, and winter is usually longer than summer.

Cryptoleto and cryptozyma

  • Lack of a legal framework in most countries. The citizen’s cryptocurrency is not protected in any way, fraud in this sphere is not prosecuted, the holder himself is responsible for the safety of his funds. They try to fix the situation by introducing the concept of “digital asset”, but the privacy of payments play a cruel joke here, it’s very hard to catch a fraudster, especially if he followed the rules of basic care when dealing with a purse.
  • High commissions outside the system, cryptocurrency conversion to fiat eats up a significant part of the amount.
  • Bad reputation. For most citizens, cryptocurrency is a financial pyramid with complex technical content. The situation is gradually changing due to the work of enthusiasts; in 2021, 60% of surveyed Americans are interested in cryptocurrency and consider it as a means of payment. The number of searches on search engines is also growing.

Benefits of ecosystems and DeFi projects

Crypto-enthusiasts quickly realized that it is not enough to create a convenient decentralized currency, it is necessary to form around it a number of tools inherent to traditional finance. Handy applications for wallets and transfers, options for passive income without the use of expensive equipment (mining), the ability to take a loan, quickly buy the necessary cryptocurrency or exchange it for another, etc.

A significant part of cryptocurrencies is the internal currency of individual projects, among the largest:

  • BNB is the cryptocurrency of the largest cryptocurrency exchange Binance,
  • UNI is the native token of the largest decentralized crypto exchange Uniswap.
  • NEAR is a token of the NEAR Protocol blockchain platform.
  • MANA is a cryptocurrency of the Decentraland project, which uses blockchain to create a meta universe.
  • APE is the token and security counterpart of the decentralized developer community ApeCoin.
  • AXS is the internal currency of the blockchain game, Axie Infinity.

In addition, there are cryptocurrencies that act as the basis for the creation of other cryptocurrencies, tokens or even blockchains. The most popular ecosystem today is Ethereum, it includes several hundred projects and about 200 million users (this is the number of wallets that hold ETH cryptocurrency), other similar projects are actively developing.

Increase in daily Ether transactions

For example, Solana, one of the fastest blockchains, has squeezed out competitors in 5 years and entered the top 10 cryptocurrencies by capitalization. More than 13 thousand tokens have been created on the blockchain, and the number of active wallets is growing.

The advantages of investing in such cryptocurrencies:

  • Fundamental analysis. Some cryptocurrency projects are created and maintained by legal entities that publish financial information in the public domain. If there are no specific reports, you can use the information on official resources (websites, accounts in social networks), where they often publish specific figures and tell about the achievements of the project. In the end, there are observers, where you can find a variety of reliable information about the number of active users, the circulating supply of cryptocurrency, etc.

Variety of assets

  • Interested in projects with a gaming or social component – there is StepN, Axie Infinity, Sandbox and many others.
  • Believe in the future of blockchain and want to invest in a technology project – the high-speed Solana, developer-oriented Algorand, Bitcoin’s main competitor Ethereum, etc.
  • Do you think that cryptocurrency can compete with traditional financial institutions – Aave lending platform, Function X bank replacement, another lending platform, more popular and versatile JUST, etc.
  • And this is not a complete list, the world of cryptocurrency attracts programmers who create interesting and daring projects, from the use of blockchain at the state level with the Russian Waves, to artificial intelligence technologies Fetch.ai.
  • Passive earning – stacking, etc. Stacking is a variant of passive earning with cryptocurrency, when a user keeps his assets in a certain wallet and thus ensures the system is operational. But, in addition to the classic stacking, there are other ways, it depends on the specific project. A token holder can lend its assets, rent the power of its PC for a fee (Livepeer, Render Token), become an encrypted server for storing other users’ data (Siacoin) and so on.
  • The ability to participate in the life and development of the project. The same principle works here as with the shares. By buying tokens for some projects, you become their co-owner. Together with other users, you can make management decisions and determine what the project lacks and what you need to get rid of.
  • Privileges. This depends on the specific issuer, DeFi projects give better credit or deposit offers, cloud storage allocates more space for information, streaming blockchain platforms offer better broadcasting quality, etc.

Despite all the pluses, investing in specific projects has the following nuances:

  • Most of the information about the projects is presented in English on the official websites, we have tried to correct this situation, and described more than a hundred different cryptocurrencies.
  • Blockchain itself is not new, there is specialized literature and relevant courses to learn the basics. But some projects go further and work with experimental technologies like Web 3.0 (Polkadot, Polygon, Lisk) or Internet of Things (XYO Network), which scare most investors with its technical complexity.
  • You can run into a pacifier, more about such projects below.

Memes, pyramid schemes and fraudulent projects

Lack of regulators and legal responsibility for cryptocurrency market actions led to creation of thousands of fraud projects, pyramid schemes and useless tokens (“memes” projects).

Scams are little-known tokens and cryptocurrencies, they are usually not available on major exchanges, you can only buy them in an exchange or on the official website of the project.

Financial pyramids – a significant part of NFT and GameFi projects are essentially classical financial pyramids, but the incentive for new users is not the hypothetical possibility of enrichment, but an interesting gamble or desire to collect something.

Memes (Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Floki Inu) are joke projects, created for fun, have no specific goal and vector of development.

All such projects have the following features:

  • Lack of a clear goal of creation.
  • Unthought-out economics, the price of cryptocurrency changes unpredictably (for example, under the influence of tweets of Ilon Musk).
  • Advertising on non-core resources (blogs, YouTube, etc.), which promises huge benefits to all who buy.
  • Centralization and lack of the usual openness for cryptocurrencies, it is hard to track transactions, the “controlling” package of tokens belongs to the creator, he controls the issue, etc.
  • Extreme volatility. For example, a sharp jump in price after creation of a cryptocurrency (at that moment, the creator collects profit and leaves the project) and the subsequent fall.

On such a project, you can earn a lot and quickly, if you sell everything in time, but the ethical side of the issue remains on the conscience of the investor.

Peculiarities of investing in stabelcoins

Stablecoin is a type of cryptocurrency whose price is pegged to a real asset, such as a dollar (Tether) or gold (PAX Gold). In general, stabelcoins can be divided into three categories:

  • Secured by a real asset. The company issuing the stabelcoin has currency, gold, precious securities, or property in its account that supports the price of the token. Typically, exchanging such a token for fiat causes it to “burn.” It is not possible to mine such staplecoins, their issuance is strictly centralized. Examples: Tether, USD Coin, PAX Gold, SwissRealCoin, etc.
  • Secured by another cryptocurrency. Differs from the first option in that the issuer does not have traditional assets in his account. Examples: Dai Token, Reserve Rights.
  • The price of the token is supported by a special algorithm. There is no collateral, there is no centralized issuer to control everything, the token economy works based on a mathematical formula. Examples: TerraUSD, Neutrino USD, Fei Protocol, etc.

The main benefit of stabelcoin (besides its stability) is the ability to pay for goods and services with a stable and decentralized currency.

The growth of interest in stablcoin

But investing in and working with stabelcoins still has a number of peculiarities:

  • Most popular projects are centralized, which means the user may be restricted in some way by the issuer (or by a court order to which the issuer must comply).
  • From time to time, regulators have doubts about whether projects are really 100% backed by fiat or property. For example, Tether repeatedly faces reality checks on its assets.
  • Algorithmic steblecoins are not reliable, there is a risk of losing token value, this happened with the TerraUSD project.
  • Central Banks are taking stablcoins seriously, experts predict that they will either be banned or come under state control. In this case, they will completely lose their decentralization, it will be impossible to use them to bypass all sanctions. Stablecoins will essentially become more technological fiat.

Conclusion

Cryptocurrency is a promising asset for investment, the purchase of which should be approached with caution and responsibility. The main difference between cryptocurrencies as an investment tool and traditional assets is that:

  1. Cryptocurrencies are not yet regulated by laws.
  2. investing in cryptocurrencies = investing in technology.
  3. a lot of empty and fraudulent projects.

At the moment, investing in any cryptocurrency has its own risks, common to all – high dependence on the news background and the influence of big capital, it is best seen in the crisis. In a difficult economic situation, the largest holders of cryptocurrencies are rapidly selling their assets, causing an avalanche-like fall and panic in the ranks of cryptoinvestors, who are prophesied another “end game. Experts have promised more than 400 times that the cryptocurrency pyramid is about to collapse.

The same rule works for bitcoin and any other cryptocurrency as for ordinary assets – look for growth sources, promising and undervalued projects.

The post Risks and Benefits of Investing in Cryptocurrency appeared first on B_Sai.

]]>
Could Bitcoin Become the Currency of the Future? https://bsai.io/could-bitcoin-become-the-currency-of-the-future/ Wed, 19 Jan 2022 16:29:00 +0000 https://bsai.io/?p=107 If you answer this question from the perspective of today’s trends, the answer is unequivocal – it can’t. But bitcoin has its own fans, who […]

The post Could Bitcoin Become the Currency of the Future? appeared first on B_Sai.

]]>
If you answer this question from the perspective of today’s trends, the answer is unequivocal – it can’t. But bitcoin has its own fans, who will not hesitate to resent such uncompromising skepticism. Besides, short answers always put you off, and you want to continue the conversation. Some need clarification, some need proof, some need hope – what if there is a chance? They really want to reassure – of course there is!

So how can two such opposite answers be combined?

We call bitcoin a cryptocurrency. The currency root “coin” is firmly ingrained in our minds. But, on the other hand, most of those who make transactions with cryptocurrency and strive to possess it, learning the tricks of mining, see bitcoin as a value that grows in value. That’s what they call an asset. So, in order to imagine a plausible future for a cryptocurrency like bitcoin, we have to make up our minds: is it money or is it an asset? Of course, this opposition is partly artificial, because one of the functions of money is to serve as a means of accumulation. Money made of precious metals became real treasures, and today’s money also represents the world’s wealth, it measures accumulated assets, and it is traded on exchanges. Any currency becomes an asset when it has certain properties that allow a person to protect their savings.

Does cryptocurrency have the qualifying attributes of an asset? So far, there is only one sign – it is steadily growing in price (or rather, steadily growing). Since December 2017, the bitcoin price has been experiencing quite serious declines and encouraging attempts at growth. These fluctuations bring bitcoin closer to “speculative” assets. But “classic” speculative assets fluctuate in price because they involve risk, high returns are expected on them, the companies that issue them earn significant and quick profits, expand their operations, produce products or provide services with high end demand. Investors are evaluating all of this and the market is looking to find a “fair” price for such assets.

And why is bitcoin rising in value? Simply because it is growing! There is a theory that its quantity, like gold, is limited. But gold is not only growing in value because it is rare. It also has a commodity value, not to mention that it is still a “reserve asset. And bitcoin has no commodity or use value. Maybe its value is in the fact that it is a future currency with which everything can be bought someday. That is why we must hurry now to stock up on tomorrow’s universal means of payment.

If the version has the right to life, let us ask ourselves another question: does bitcoin have the signs of a future currency? On the one hand, the number of electronic wallets and accumulated amounts in cryptocurrency is growing, and more and more “cryptomats” – machines that can convert accumulated bitcoins into cash are being installed. However, cashed cryptocurrency immediately becomes traditional dollars, euros and yen. From time to time it is reported that bitcoins were involved in a particular transaction as a means of payment. Someone was the first to buy a pizza, somewhere managed to buy real estate. There are those who proudly look at T-shirts hanging in their closet, for which so much bitcoins were paid that today they could buy a new luxury limousine or maybe their whole garage with them. But these are all exotic cases.

The reality is much more prosaic: the owners of 99% of all bitcoin wallets possess, on average, only 10 bitcoins or less. At the same time, 56% keep less than 0.001 bitcoins in their wallets, which equals $8-9 in value. The average “thickness” of nearly 15 million wallets is $1.5!!! And the average value of cryptocurrency accumulated on one of all 26.4 million wallets is about $5,500. The concentration of bitcoins is very high. Owners of just 2 wallets own $2.8 billion worth of bitcoins, while owners of 148,000 wallets (0.56%) own $127.1 billion (87% of their entire accumulated market value). These calculations are made at a value of about $8,700 per bitcoin. Their market value may change, but the level of concentration is unlikely to be elastic to fluctuations in the conjuncture.

Conventional wealth is also highly concentrated. According to recent data, 1% of the world’s population owns almost 90% of all assets. But these are assets: stocks, bonds, precious metals, real estate, cash. If we talk about money, the means of payment that are not embodied in assets, their concentration is much lower. For example, in the United States, according to surveys, Americans with an average income of $50,000 to $75,000 a year (the median income in the United States is about $55,000 a year) are among the most cash-hungry and cash-paying individuals. The average amount of cash they have is $113. These cash lovers in the U.S. are 8% of the population. Those who keep cash just in case are 26%. Their average income is $25,000 to $50,000 a year, and the average amount of daily cash in a wallet is $64. Notably, Americans who have no daily cash at all and pay wherever they can, mostly with credit or debit cards, are 13%. Their average income is lowest, less than $25,000 a year.

These figures suggest that the ownership and use of cash in the largest financial economy in the world is still fairly distributed, one might even say democratic. And this is quite understandable: the nature of money as a means of payment rules out its high concentration, which is tantamount to removing cash from the economic turnover. If cash is, as they say, thesaurus, it means that there must immediately appear money surrogates, new means of payment. No one has cancelled the law that bad money replaces good money. But the main thing is not even this. It is the fact that the value of assets, for example, in dollars, significantly exceeds the value of cash or equivalent means of payment in circulation – the money supply. There is literally an Everest of financial assets looming over the pile of cash. There is no such mass of bitcoin assets around bitcoin. Not because bitcoin is not embedded in the system of economic activity, but because it is not money per se. It is still the embryo of likely future cryptocurrencies.

Another deterrent is sharp fluctuations in price. Let’s imagine that the value of some currency changes dramatically in value. How would its rational holder behave? If the currency is getting cheaper, he will try to spend it as quickly as possible and turn it into goods and the goods or services he needs. After all, if he hesitates, he loses. As the value of the currency falls, he has to give more and more of it for a good or service. A decline in the value of currency provokes him to spend it. And if the currency is rising sharply in value, its owner will restrain his spending and save. If he continues to spend, he, again, will incur losses, because he will keep the money and buy more goods with the same amount of currency after a while. The appreciation of currency contributes to its accumulation.

Now let’s look at bitcoin, which has no pronounced signs of assets, primarily such as expected income based on economic activity, does not yet create the bitcoin assets that will follow it in the blockchain space. The signs of currency in it are barely discernible. At the same time, it has the characteristics that prevent it from being a currency – a high concentration of ownership and sharp fluctuations in price.

So what might determine bitcoin’s chances of taking a full-fledged place on the list of currencies?

First. There should be a demarcation of today’s cryptocurrencies into potential currencies and crypto-assets, which primarily become tokens issued during ICOs. Initial public offerings of crypto-assets should gradually acquire the features of initial public offerings of securities and financial instruments. Naturally, not in form but in content. If today, by placing tokens, issuers expect that they will grow in value like any other cryptocurrency, which, in fact, attracts investors, then in the future they will have to think about paying their investors a regular remuneration from the income from specific activities. An ICO is a form of crowdfunding and often involves doing business. That is, the token should become inherently a crypto-action or crypto-bond, with all the characteristics of the classic samples of these financial instruments, primarily the income paid out under certain conditions.

Second. Cryptocurrency should gradually spread to more owners. But not only that, there must be appropriate banking services (cryptobanking). It was banks that broke the monopoly of gold as money, replacing it with credit money. Cryptocurrency credit money is what will expand the circulation of cryptocurrency as such. Without the formation of a crypto-financial infrastructure, even a virtual one, there will be no cryptocurrency. It will not overcome the purely technological limitations of bitcoins, but it will create bitcoin assets that will multiply as exponentially as financial assets multiplied on the basis of even gold money circulation. In the Middle Ages, banks did not create gold – they multiplied liabilities, often severely detached from the stock of real gold in their vaults. This caused crises and crashes, but that’s how the modern financial system came about.

Third. The value of cryptocurrency must stabilize. Of course, it will change as existing currencies change, but it can’t be percentages, much less times. In fact, it doesn’t matter how much bitcoin will be worth, as long as its price fluctuations become close to the fluctuations of classic world currencies. Demand for bitcoin as a means of payment and investment, for example, will drive its value up. Reduced volatility will scare off speculators. Somewhere the market will find a balance.

Fourth. No matter how we call cryptocurrency private money, we can’t do without some kind of regulation system. Circulation of cryptocurrency should be subject to rules. Whether it will become a monopoly of the state or some kind of self-regulating system of private money, it is difficult to predict now. The latter option will be very aggressively accepted by state banks, and the first, by and large, makes no sense, because even today national currencies begin life as records in the accounts of central banks and state treasuries. And the current conventional currency is in a sense “crypto.”

Fifth. Cryptocurrency must be believed in – not only in the dark corners of the Internet, but also by the general population. It must integrate into objective, legal economic activity. That means it must begin to supplant conventional means of payment. What will happen to the accumulated debts in society, to the reserves? So far, two extremes are being drawn. One – the complete destruction of the existing economic and financial system with the state at the head. The second – the transformation of private cryptocurrencies into an element of a vertical hierarchical economic system, closing in on the state in its new, unknown to us today format. Now we have not even reached this crossroads yet.

If all this, at least, is realized, it is quite possible that bitcoin or other cryptocurrency will eventually become the currency of the future.

The post Could Bitcoin Become the Currency of the Future? appeared first on B_Sai.

]]>
Bitcoin Exchange Rate Forecast for 2022 https://bsai.io/bitcoin-exchange-rate-forecast-for-2022/ Sat, 25 Dec 2021 18:35:00 +0000 https://bsai.io/?p=95 The New Year is approaching – it’s time to make predictions. Each of you is probably wondering what the coming year will bring us – […]

The post Bitcoin Exchange Rate Forecast for 2022 appeared first on B_Sai.

]]>
The New Year is approaching – it’s time to make predictions. Each of you is probably wondering what the coming year will bring us – and not just for us personally and our families, but for the whole country and the entire planet. Investors are wondering what will happen next year to the global and domestic economy, stock markets, exchange rates, prices of oil, gas, gold and other assets. Well, for those who invest in cryptocurrency, the main question is: what will happen to bitcoin in 2022? So let’s talk about that today. But first, let’s ask the question of how we should approach predicting cryptocurrency rates in general.

A general approach to predicting cryptocurrency rates

Many people complain about the volatility of bitcoin and forget that cryptocurrencies are a completely new asset class, and it is their highest volatility that attracts the attention of crypto-traders and crypto-investors around the world. Therefore, bitcoin forecasts cannot be approached with the standards and templates that are used when analyzing classic financial instruments. In my opinion, the main principle of forecasting cryptocurrency dynamics is not to try to guess the range of fluctuations, but to forecast the general trend, the general trend, being aware that temporary deviations from this trend can be very significant, and in both directions – both up and down. However, the criticism of cryptocurrencies for excess volatility is gradually fading, because investors start to perceive their wide fluctuations as a certain specific feature of this asset class, as one of its main characteristics, which just needs to be learned to work with. In addition, we are also seeing the maturation of the asset itself. Bitcoin has turned from some obscure digital coin into an asset in which large companies and even some states invest, and futures and ETFs on which are traded on the largest American exchanges. It turns out that not only the price of bitcoin has grown in the last couple of years, but also its role in global finance.

Bitcoin forecasts for 2022

Well, now let’s move directly to forecasts. Let’s start with predictions from various analytical agencies and experts.

JPMorgan

One of the most bullish forecasts on bitcoin was made by JPMorgan. In the beginning of the year analyst of the bank Nikolaos Panigirtsoglu stated that if bitcoin decreases its volatility, this will attract big institutional investors to it, and then in long term it will reach prices of $145K. Panigirtzoglu justified his position with the fact that bitcoin, in his opinion, will displace gold as an alternative to national currencies. However, at the end of the year, JPMorgan lowered the forecasted price. The analysts estimated the fair value of bitcoin at $35,000, but also noted its declining volatility and said that $73,000 is a reasonable target for bitcoin in 2022.

Bank of America

But Bank of America is skeptical of bitcoin. A December survey by the bank found that about 59% of managers surveyed believe the cryptocurrency is a bubble. That said, most expect bitcoin to stay in the $50,000 to $75,000 range over the next 12 months. Another 19% of respondents expect bitcoin to fluctuate between $25,000 and $50,000 next year, while 25% predict it will rise to $75,000.

Bloomberg

But Bloomberg Intelligence senior strategist Mike McGlone thinks bitcoin will break the $100,000 mark in 2022, helped by its recognition as legal tender in the United States. That’s a pretty bold statement when you consider that Fed Chair Jerome Powell said at the December Fed meeting that cryptocurrencies are not backed by anything, so recognition of bitcoin as a means of payment is unlikely for now. However, Powell said that he does not see cryptocurrencies as a threat to financial stability. And one more quote from Bloomberg analysts’ forecast for 2022: “Unrestricted supply of fiat currency should keep prices up, especially for bitcoin and ether, whose supply is limited.” It sounds logical, but let’s not forget that the monetary policy of the world’s largest central banks will most likely already in the second half of 2022 clearly turn towards tightening, which means that excess liquidity will be “pumped out” of the economy as part of the fight against inflation. Understanding this, one could argue with Bloomberg analysts.

Barry Sternlicht

One of the chief optimists about bitcoin is Barry Sternlicht, head of Starwood Capital Group. He thinks that in the future bitcoin can grow to a million dollars. But unfortunately, the billionaire didn’t specify when exactly this future will come. Meanwhile, he refers to one of the key advantages of bitcoin – the limited issuance, which makes this cryptocurrency anti-inflationary asset. By the way, this month bitcoin mining has passed an important milestone – 90% of all bitcoin “reserves” have already been “mined”, so there is a rational point in Barry Sternlicht’s words. But let’s try to calculate: if bitcoin is worth a million dollars, then its total capitalization will be approximately $18 trillion. And the total capitalization of the U.S. stock market is now equal to about $51 trillion. It turns out that for bitcoin to reach the level of one million dollars, almost half of the money from the U.S. stock market must flow into this cryptocurrency. By comparison, Apple, the largest company by capitalization, is worth “only” $3 trillion. In my opinion, it is extremely difficult for bitcoin to reach even those peaks. To catch up with Apple in terms of capitalization, it needs to rise to $150,000, which is still a pretty high bar for the first cryptocurrency. And reaching the price of a million will be even more difficult. Of course, gradual depreciation of fiat currencies due to inflation allows one to set such goals for bitcoin, but it will take many years to reach them.

Bank of England

And perhaps the most negative outlook for bitcoin today from the Bank of England. Representatives of the regulator warned investors that they could lose all the money they invest in bitcoin. “The price of cryptocurrencies can vary quite significantly, and theoretically or practically they could fall to zero,” the deputy governor of the Bank of England said. And Bank of England official Thomas Belmesh called bitcoin a “worthless” asset that cannot be used either as a means of payment or as a means of savings. As you can see, friends, the forecasts are very diverse and, given that the asset is relatively young and few people understand how to value it, it is very difficult to predict the dynamics of bitcoin. By and large, it is wrong to make predictions with a one-year horizon for cryptocurrencies at all – you need to evaluate longer-term trends, which are less affected by market noise. Nevertheless, let’s try to make our own bitcoin forecast for 2022.

InvestFuture Forecast

First of all, let’s pay attention to the most important factors that will determine the main trend of bitcoin behavior in the new year. Let’s start with inflation. It has been a long time since the world economy has seen such problems with inflation. Because fighting inflation is now the number one issue for the world’s central banks, it seems logical to expect bitcoin to weaken: if inflation goes down, so will interest in bitcoin as a tool to protect against this very inflation. But let’s not jump to conclusions.

In the first quarter of 2022, despite the turnaround in monetary policy by Western central banks, financing conditions will still be very soft and stimulative. The U.S. Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and even the Bank of England, which raised its policy rate slightly at its last meeting, still have key rates near zero. Even if the Fed starts raising rates in March and is projected to hold three rate hikes during 2022, monetary policy in the U.S. will still remain soft. Yes, we see Western central banks winding down their asset purchase programs, but they are in no hurry to reduce their bloated balance sheets. Therefore, the surplus liquidity will leave the markets very slowly, so the bitcoin exchange rate will probably be affected only in the second half of the year, and this negative effect will build up slowly and gradually. Thus, in the first quarter, bitcoin still has room for growth and a chance to return to historical highs – and even to renew them.

But from the second quarter, the negative impact on the cryptocurrency market will begin to intensify, and in the second half of the year, the cryptocurrency market may start to go into a depression. And the main source of the negative effect will most likely be two other factors, rather than a decline in inflation. The first is regulatory problems. Bitcoin has already reached a trillion-dollar capitalization, and regulators around the world can no longer just brush it aside and pretend it doesn’t exist. Questions about the regulation of cryptocurrencies are now being raised at every meeting of leading central banks. True, it’s not bitcoin that worries the authorities the most right now, but stabelcoin.

But even if regulators focus their efforts on regulating stablcoins in 2022, it could cause concern for bitcoin investors as well, because everyone has heard about bitcoin pumping at the expense of stablcoins and another “plumping” of the first cryptocurrency after the additional issue of Tether stablcoin.

And the second negative factor is the ESG trend. While talk of “dirty” bitcoin has recently subsided, the problem has not evaporated. Given that bitcoin still consumes a lot of energy, the active implementation of ESG standards around the world could also be a source of negativity for it. But on the other hand, more “green” cryptocurrencies may benefit from this – for example, Ethereum, which is moving to a new mining algorithm.

Conclusions

To summarize. In my opinion, we should probably not expect any fantastic growth from Bitcoin in 2022. The first quarter still gives hope that bitcoin will be able to break through the previous maximums and rise to about $70-75 thousand, but in the second half of the year we will most likely see its fall into the $30-40 thousand range. And in 2023, the decline may continue because of the final change of the central banks’ course towards a tightening of monetary policy. If we talk about specific price levels, it is worth paying attention to such bitcoin analysis tool as the onchain metric SSR – Stablecoin Supply Ratio. It is calculated as the ratio of the market capitalization of bitcoin to the market capitalization of all stablecoins. This metric shows that strong support for the first cryptocurrency passes at the $30,000 level. If regulators don’t use harsh crackdowns against stabecoin in the new year, this support is likely to continue into the second half of 2022, although bitcoin may test it at times.

That, friends, is how I see bitcoin dynamics in 2022 right now. Naturally, as the markets change, this forecast can and should be adjusted or revised altogether.

The post Bitcoin Exchange Rate Forecast for 2022 appeared first on B_Sai.

]]>
Cryptocurrencies and the Future of Globalization https://bsai.io/cryptocurrencies-and-the-future-of-globalization/ Fri, 04 Sep 2020 03:23:00 +0000 https://bsai.io/?p=92 A little more than a decade has passed since a select group of cryptography experts received emails from an unknown Satoshi Nakamoto announcing the launch […]

The post Cryptocurrencies and the Future of Globalization appeared first on B_Sai.

]]>
A little more than a decade has passed since a select group of cryptography experts received emails from an unknown Satoshi Nakamoto announcing the launch of the innovative Bitcoin monetary system. Since then, cryptographic algorithm developers have offered many digital alternatives to existing payment systems. Consumers and investors have tested different versions of digital currencies, and governments and central banks have developed approaches to regulating the crypto market with more or less enthusiasm. However, the debate about the essential nature of cryptocurrencies continues unabated. What is it – money, a financial instrument or an operating system? Do cryptocurrencies have value? What risks do cryptocurrency users bear? Is it possible to create a global cybernetic financial system on their basis, completely replacing modern mechanisms of money creation and financial intermediation? Preliminary answers to these questions can be obtained by examining the advantages and disadvantages of this digital phenomenon. First, however, it is necessary to make a brief excursion into the history of money.

Revolution or evolution

The development of money is directly related to the application of new technologies and innovation. The leading role in this process has been played by enterprising Brits. For centuries one of the key problems of money circulation was the deterioration of coins, when their gold or silver content was constantly decreasing as a result of the trimming of the edges. This defect was remedied by Isaac Newton, who headed England’s mint in the late 17th century. During the Great Recoining, Newton ordered that all flawed and counterfeit coins be removed from circulation and replaced by new ones that were machine-made with a round ribbed rim, making them more difficult to further deface. Over time, increased foreign demand for high quality English silver coinage led to a shortage in the domestic market and necessitated a transition to paper money.

The flooding of the British economy with paper money became possible after the centralization of monetary circulation. Created in 1694, the Bank of England not only received the right to print paper money, but also secured the government’s obligation to cover the entire issue by issuing public debt. Its holders were thus assured a guaranteed income in the form of interest payments. A similar centralized model of money circulation was reproduced in the United States after the establishment of the Federal Reserve System in 1913. The Federal Reserve System (Fed) was established in 1913. Despite the fact that today the size of U.S. government debt has surpassed the $23 trillion mark, the economy of fiat money has very influential supporters, given that, along with the Fed, U.S. private investors and central banks in other countries are the owners of U.S. debt. In 2019, for example, the U.S. government’s net interest payments on government debt totaled about $390 billion, twice the capitalization of all cryptocurrencies in circulation.

Nevertheless, before paper money gained worldwide recognition, it was anathematized twice. The first time was in China back in the 14th century, when the inflation of paper money led to a ban on its subsequent issuance. Paper money suffered another fiasco in 1720 in the Scottish financier John Law’s failed experiment on the French financial system, which delayed its mass circulation in continental Europe for more than a century.

The transition from paper money to electronic money also began in London, where the world’s first ATM was installed on June 27, 1967. The prototype of the first debit cards appeared even earlier – in 1914, when the American telegraph company Western Union introduced a card for interest-free payments. True, at that time the card was made of metal sheet, not plastic as it is today.

Despite of modern wide spread of e-money, cash payments are still popular not only in developing, but also in highly-developed economies. In the modern world as a whole, the share of cash in transactions reaches 85%. For example, the share of cash payments in the total value of transactions in Austria, Germany and the U.S. is 65%, 53% and 30%, respectively. At the same time, only Norway and Sweden are experimenting with a complete renunciation of cash, where its share in the monetary supply was reduced to a symbolic 2.5%. Even after the advent of mobile payment platforms such as Apple Pay and Venmo in the U.S., cash in circulation has consistently increased, reaching $1.7 trillion in 2019.

Money or Technology

In addition to inertial barriers of political and technical nature, the mass spread of cryptocurrencies at the present stage is hindered by difficulties arising from their recognition as money. Any monetary system is based on trust in the ability of money to perform three main functions – means of payment, exchange and accumulation. The most painful for society is the depreciation of money, leading to a proportional decline in the value of created values. Trust in money is therefore based on its enduring social significance. Cryptocurrencies certainly represent a new word in the monetary sphere, but not so much as a monetary surrogate as a new technology of transaction accounting, which has the universal ability to embody the properties of money, commodity, property, financial asset and payment system without fully responding to any of them.

Yuan vs. dollar – a fight in the global financial ring

To draw a distinction between money and technology, let us turn to the following example. Over the past 30 years, the average cost per gigabyte of memory on a hard drive has dropped from $100,000 to a few cents. Does this mean that trust in dollars has gone up or that information has lost its social importance? No, it doesn’t. The decrease in the cost of storing information on a hard drive is a consequence of the development of technology and does not change the essence of money as a regulator of social interaction.

The benefits of cryptocurrencies

The main advantage of cryptocurrencies lies in the ability to reduce the cost of transactions and to involve the broadest segment of the population in financial transactions. The strengths of cryptocurrencies include decentralized (distributed) management, which means that no single entity controls the network; global access, which allows any user connected to the Internet to participate in the cryptosystem; security through cryptography, which protects the integrity of funds, which together give their users virtually unlimited freedom of action.

One of the main advantages of the Bitcoin system and a number of other cryptocurrencies is the zero transaction costs and simplified order of use. This attracts small and medium-sized businesses, as well as low-income citizens for whom access to bank cards is limited, and the transfer of funds through professional operators is too expensive. The flexible open source nature of cryptocurrencies allows programmers to develop these systems virtually online. It is believed that Bitcoin or other distributed (decentralized) network companies cannot be shut down because they do not have a single issuing center (central server).

Risks of cryptosystems

Along with the obvious advantages in practice, the operation of cryptosystems is flawed and reveals a number of serious drawbacks. The first problem is related to the limited bandwidth of the payment system. Blockchain-based cryptocurrency circulation involves two main participants – miners and users. Miners serve as bookkeepers and maintain the system infrastructure by updating the transaction list. Users make and receive payments. The financial incentive for miners is the fees charged to users for queuing up transactions. In order to generate user fees, the capacity of the system must be small enough. For example, the capacity through the Visa system is 3,526 transactions per second, while through the Bitcoin system it is 3.3 transactions. Capacity constraints overload the system, especially during peak hours, and lead to higher fees. For example, in December 2017, payment processing fees rose to $57 per transaction, regardless of the destination.

The second problem is the lack of payment finality guarantees. A payment recorded in the ledger does not guarantee that it is final and irrevocable. Cryptocurrencies are held by agreement between miners. If some of them collude and decide to rewrite the transaction history, the payment could be destroyed. In particular, such a precedent was set at Japan’s largest bitcoin exchange, Mt. Gox. In February 2014, this exchange declared bankruptcy after 850 thousand bitcoin coins worth half a billion dollars went missing, which somewhat weakened users’ faith in the perfection of cryptosystems.

The third problem is the enormous cost of operating a decentralized payment system. In the course of competition, miners add more and more blocks to their ledgers until their profits approach zero. The processing power of individual miner farms that mine cryptocurrencies is equivalent to the power of millions of personal computers. The total amount of electricity used to mine bitcoins in mid-2018 was equal to that of an average country like Switzerland. Other cryptocurrencies also use quite a bit of electricity. Such amounts of energy consumption can quickly become an environmental disaster.

In addition, double-checking all transactions constantly increases the volume of the blockchain. For example, a simulation of the spread of distributed ledger technology across economies such as the United States or China shows that, even under optimistic assumptions, the size of the ledger will exceed the capacity of a typical smartphone in just a few days, exceed the memory capacity of a typical personal computer in weeks, and go beyond server storage in months. Thus, only the capacity of supercomputers will allow the verification of all incoming transactions.

The fourth problem with cryptocurrencies is their extreme volatility, due to the lack of a central issuer designed to guarantee value stability through the use of various monetary policy instruments. The most successful Central Banks stabilize the intrinsic value of their currencies by adjusting the supply of payment instruments to match the demand for them. This is in contrast to cryptocurrency, where its supply is predetermined by the payment protocol. Therefore, any fluctuation in demand leads to a change in the value of the cryptocurrency, which makes it extremely unstable. For example, when bitcoin was created in 2009, it was worth 0.3 cents. Two years later, the price of bitcoin was $2, and at the end of 2013. – $1,000. In January 2015, its price dropped to $200 and did not return to the $1,000 mark until February 2017. In July 2016, the price dropped again to $640, and by the end of 2017, it had surpassed the $19,000 mark. In December 2018, the price dropped to $3,400, jumped to $13,000 in June 2019, and dropped to $7,268 in December 2019. Bitcoin’s market capitalization dropped 2.5 times from December 2017 to December 2019, from $320.5 billion to $131.8 billion, before starting to climb again in January 2020.

The fifth problem of cryptocurrencies is their lack of well-functioning regulation and anonymity, which increases the attractiveness of this system in criminal circles, in particular for the laundering of illicit proceeds and terrorist financing, committing cyber attacks, organizing the purchase and sale of drugs (which, for example, took place on one of the most popular anonymous Internet trading platforms Silk Road, which operated in 2011-2013).

It is believed that the introduction of Libra, a global currency, could address all of these shortcomings. The white paper, the text of which can be found on the website of the management company Libra Association, argues that the new currency will increase the speed of money transfers, lead to a significant reduction in the cost of borrowing, increase the responsibility of the financial sector in creating and offering innovative products to the market. By including in Libra hundreds of millions of new users, for whom traditional banking services are not available today for various reasons, tens of millions of jobs will be created, which will change the lives of billions of people. The participation in this project of regulators and experts in different fields will lead to the creation of a sustainable, safe, reliable, cheaper, more accessible and more connected global financial system.

The creators of Libra envision backing this currency with a reserve of real assets and tying its intrinsic value to a basket of currencies and services provided by its operators. Meanwhile, banks or real sector companies are not on that list yet.

In case of launching of digital currency Libra 2.7 billion users of social network Facebook will have access to it. If every subscriber makes a $1000 payment within Facebook using blockchain technology, the network could have an annual turnover of $2.7 trillion or 11% of the U.S. federal debt. The value of Libra, as well as all of this turnover, will be tied to the dollar (or a basket of currencies including the dollar), and therefore to the U.S. economy. It should be emphasized that other cryptocurrencies and many key technologies of the digital economy are also tied to the U.S. dollar.

Thus, American companies specializing in the creation and management of social networks offer their solutions in the monetary sphere, which, on the one hand, can be regarded as elements of disintegration of the global monetary system, and on the other hand, as its transition to a qualitatively different level – a global cybernetic financial system, in which the United States will have an unconditional comparative advantage.

The anonymous and decentralized nature of participants in cryptosystems questions the existence of a two-tier banking system. Global cryptocurrency opens the door to a digital hypermarket that knows no national borders, in which today’s fee revenues of traditional payment system operators can be transformed into tomorrow’s consumption by hundreds of millions of new digital economy users. When combined with Big Data, cryptocurrencies enable high-tech elites to create a payment system independent of the state and influence the behavior of individual social groups, consumers, and voters.

A glimpse from the future

It should be emphasized that the first digital currency projects emerged back in the 1990s (David Chom’s DigiCach, Ilon Musk’s PayPal, Sholom Rosen’s “digital dollars”) and were developed with the direct participation of system institutions such as Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse and Citibank. However, in 2001, after the dot-com crisis, all these projects were shut down. It is difficult to predict the fate of today’s cryptosystems, given that there are already more than 5,000 digital currencies in the world and their number continues to grow.

Digital currencies are just a technology for recording transactions, which does not eliminate competition in the field of national currencies – the dollar, euro, pound sterling, yen, yuan. To overcome the devastating consequences of the global financial crisis and to protect their national economies from the unregulated elements of the global market, governments of sovereign states have teamed up with bankers and financiers, which has led to increased trends of protectionism and isolationism in the world economy. Joining this alliance of cryptographers and programmers could reinforce digital nationalism and reverse the globalization of the Internet. However, as history shows, economies cannot grow without constantly reducing transaction costs and other costs. Therefore, the question of how this cost reduction will take place in the context of increasing deglobalization remains open.

The post Cryptocurrencies and the Future of Globalization appeared first on B_Sai.

]]>
How Good is Tezos (XTZ) an Investment? https://bsai.io/how-good-is-tezos-xtz-an-investment/ Tue, 09 Apr 2019 02:54:00 +0000 https://bsai.io/?p=98 Tezos (XTZ) burst onto the crypto scene with a phenomenally successful ICO in July 2017, raising $232 million in the process. However, disagreements between the […]

The post How Good is Tezos (XTZ) an Investment? appeared first on B_Sai.

]]>
Tezos (XTZ) burst onto the crypto scene with a phenomenally successful ICO in July 2017, raising $232 million in the process. However, disagreements between the founders followed, which led to delays in the token’s release. But those treacherous days seem to be a thing of the past, and it’s now the “next big thing” in the crypto industry. But, of course, it is certainly the only cryptocurrency that has received this approval. Looking into the future of Tezos cryptocurrency, can the hype be justified? Is Tezos cryptocurrency a good investment?

The price of Tezos Coin can be predicted based on a wide range. Typically, Tezos investors are bullish on the long-term price. Many point to the decentralized nature of the network, the growing demand for XTZ itself – which is why Tezos is a good investment, in their opinion.

What is Tezos (XTZ)?

Tezos is a platform for hosting smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps). Its native cryptocurrency is called Tez, or Tezzie (XTZ). It is not mined like other cryptocurrencies. Instead, XTZ Coin holders are rewarded with tokens when they participate in the proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism.

However, there are some fundamental differences between Tezos and other blockchain-based cryptocurrencies. On the Tezos platform, there are people called bakers (bakers). They essentially perform the same function as miners, protecting and managing the network, checking transactions, and distributing rewards per block. But instead of using expensive mining equipment to perform these activities, everything happens virtually through a Proof of Stake (PoS) consensus.

A description of the “baking” process

To become a baker, one must possess 8,000 XTZ. When one becomes a baker, one can add blocks to the Tezos blockchain (XTZ) – this is the process called “baking” (baking). The more XTZ a baker has, the more likely he is to succeed in getting a reward.

However, if someone doesn’t have 8,000 XTZ or the processing power to take part in baking, they can pass their tokens to the baker. While not at the same level as bakers, delegates can still earn significant passive income through steaking. Delegates lend their tokens to bakers, increasing their chances of “baking” a block. Usually, the bakers then share an extra XTZ with the delegate.

A unique feature of Tezos is that it can be updated without the need for a hard fork. This means that changes can be implemented on the network without branching. The problem with branching is that it can lead to division and disagreement between the cryptocurrency community and miners. Tezos aims to solve this problem by letting the bakers make their own decisions about changes to the network.

Only backers can vote for any changes. However, if a delegate does not agree with a baker’s position, they can delegate authority to another baker who is more in solidarity with their position on an issue. Thus, any bakers who do not vote in accordance with their delegates’ views may be penalized by a reduction in delegated funds. In addition, only bakers can propose any changes to the minutes.

Because of all this, Tezos differs significantly from traditional PoS systems. In such scenarios, every token holder can participate in the management process. In Tezos, however, tokens vote on behalf of their delegates. This is why the PoS system used on the Tezos blockchain is essentially delegated proof of participation (DPoS). However, it is not the same system as other blockchains that use DPoS, such as EOS or TRON. More specifically, Tezos uses what is known as liquid Proof of Stake (LPO) because in this case, delegation is not mandatory, unlike DPoS.

Tezos history overview: rise, fall and rise again

The Tezos white paper was released in 2014 by its founders and detailed the Tezos project. Their ICO was launched in July 2017 and raised $232 million in bitcoin and ether, even though the goal was only $20 million. It was the most successful ICO at the time. The fact that they raised 11 times as much as they expected meant they were able to hire the best developers to build Tezos’ blockchain from the ground up.

However, internal squabbling between its founders led to a delay in the release of the token and a loss of trust from investors. Its mainnet was eventually launched in September 2018. Tezos traded at $2.00 in April 2020, but soared to $4.44 in August, hitting an all-time high.

How much of a good investment is Tezos Coin?

Many analysts in the cryptocurrency world are bullish on Tezos’ long-term prospects. Why? What makes Tezos a great long-term investment?

You may be surprised to learn that Tezos has no maximum reserve. Most cryptocurrencies have a limited supply, bitcoin, for example, has a limited supply of up to 21 million. There is also an annual inflation rate of 5.5%, which means that the number of tokens grows by 5.5% per year. You might think that these factors are bad for the prospects of its price soaring. But that’s not the case because of the convenience of its yield.

This means that people tend to hold an asset because it is profitable. Thus, if Tezos have a valid use, the lack of a finite supply is simply not appropriate. In addition, the rate of inflation may encourage people to stake their XTZs, which in turn may make the Tezos network more secure.

In addition, investors and traders must consider supply and demand. About 80% of all XTZ in circulation is locked up in stacking, which means fewer volumes are circulating on exchange tumblers. Nevertheless, demand for XTZ is growing. A May 2020 Coinbase blog post showed that cryptocurrency XTZ has more trading volume relative to market capitalization than all other cryptocurrencies on the list, even more than bitcoin.

In addition, developer demand for Tezos blockchain is also growing. Michelson, the native language of smart contracts, facilitates formal verification, which gives smart contracts an extra layer of security, allowing high value transactions to be tested before they are published on the blockchain. This has led to an increase in the number of STOs launched, on the platform. More than $2.5 billion worth of STOs have been launched, making Tezos the primary platform for these tokens.

Another reason to stick with the bulls is the Tezos fund. It was created in 2017 to attract developers to XTZ and continue to grow the entire XTZ blockchain ecosystem. Their job was to provide grants to developers working on projects in the ecosystem. Like the consensus mechanism, the structure of the fund is decentralized, and there are also elections to vote for the fund’s president.

It has also established several high-profile partnerships with various projects. These include Korea Blockchain Research University to study smart contracts. Also with Banco BTG Pactual, Latin America’s largest STO investment bank, which included a token transfer from Ethereum. All of these factors are promising for potential developers contemplating taking part in the XTZ project.

Last, but not least, is something we’ve already talked about, namely the decentralized management of Tezos. The Tezos blockchain is one of the most decentralized platforms in the world. All amendments to it are made based on the votes of its participants. Blockchain upgrades consisted of Carthage and Babylon, and both received high marks from voters. That’s what gives the network stability. In addition, there is something that hardcore crypto enthusiasts really love, and that is dedication to the decentralized nature, as Satoshi suggested.

Tezos Price Predictions.

Of course, when you are considering any asset as a long-term investment, the key factor you will pay attention to is the price forecasts for the long term. Fortunately, most analysts are optimistic about Tezos’ long-term outlook.

Analyzing the current price outlook for Tezos

Before analyzing Tezos’ long-term prospects, let’s take a look at its current price.

As of December 8, 2019, XTZ was priced at $2.32. Its value has dropped from its record high of $4.44 in August 2019, but it is still about $1 more than it was at the beginning of the year. It currently ranks 19th in market capitalization, according to Coinmarketcap.

Despite this correction, the forecast for the next few years remains bullish. So, what price for XTZ is projected by 2025?

What do analysts think?

  • Crypto Geek is moderately optimistic about XTZ and predicts it could reach $8 by 2025. That would be a 232% increase over December 2020 prices.
  • Wallet Investor is more bullish on XTZ, predicting it could reach $9.77 by 2025. That would be an increase of more than 321% over December 2019 prices.
  • Digital Coin Price is also bullish on XTZ, predicting that it could reach $10.39 by 2025. That’s more than 344% higher than December 2019.
  • Crypto Coin Society is most optimistic about XTZ, predicting that it will “take off” and possibly reach $24 by 2025. That would be nearly 1,200% higher than the December 2019 price. He talks about the huge advantage of being able to update the blockchain without hardforces, which leads to stability and therefore will attract more developers.

What do we think?

What particularly stands out about the XTZ price forecasts is that there are very few bearish price forecasts for the next few years among them. Almost all of them are bullish. As we mentioned earlier, supply and demand for XTZ point to higher prices in the future. Since most of its circulating supply is used in steaming, demand is growing exponentially. So we think Tezos is certainly a great long-term investment, but how far it can go depends on various factors.

Conclusion

We’ve looked at what Tezos (XTZ) cryptocurrency is and how good an investment it is. While we’re sure that XTZ is a great long-term investment, it’s hard to predict how high its price will rise. As with other cryptocurrencies, much depends on how high bitcoin rises. It will probably still have a huge impact on the altcoin market for years to come. However, for it to be a good investment, the coin has to be successful on its own, and we are sure that it will be.

The buzzword “etherium killer” is often seen in the cryptocurrency world, but we think it is unlikely to happen. The market recognition and laurels that Ethereum already has give it a significant advantage. On top of all that, the long-awaited Ethereum 2.0 update will likely solve problems that have plagued it for years, such as scalability.

Nevertheless, Tezos has already carved out a nice little niche for itself called “home to STO.” In addition, there is the fact that Tezos has unique features that make it very attractive to developers and investors alike. Its LPoS consensus mechanism makes it truly decentralized in nature. In addition to this, its self-configuring blockchain will prove attractive to developers looking for stability without the need for a fork. So while we don’t think Tezos will be the killer of Etherium, we do think they can coexist in peace and harmony.

Of course, it is impossible to predict what will happen with 100% certainty. It’s hard enough to predict the outcome based on what we think might happen. However, things are shaping up pretty well for XTZ. It is gaining momentum at the right time and growing in popularity slowly but surely. It has enough positive traits to stand out from the crowd, and we think it can succeed in the long run. We think it’s a great addition to your cryptocurrency portfolio.

The post How Good is Tezos (XTZ) an Investment? appeared first on B_Sai.

]]>